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Rodney Stuckey’s 3-point shooting: aberration or breakthrough?

Rodney Stuckey is shooting 37.5 percent on 2.9 3-point attempts per 36 minutes. If those numbers hold, they’d both be career highs and, for the first time, Stuckey’s 3-point percentage will best the NBA average.

Has the fourth-year guard finally solidified his outside shot?

Maybe.

It’s encouraging that Stuckey is attempting so many 3-pointers – 32 in 14 games so far this season – because that indicates his high percentage is a result of increased skill, not becoming more choosy in his shot selection. Before this year, he had never attempted more than 28 3-pointers in a 14-game stretch.

But Stuckey’s 12 makes in 32 attempts don’t break new ground. He’s achieved that 17 others times during his career, though they came as part of just two independent stretches, one that mostly occurred during the middle of the 2008-09 season and one that mostly occurred late last season. In fact, he made 13-of-32 3-pointers four times during his 2008-09 hot streak.

Stuckey producing like this at the beginning of a season certainly gives more reason for optimism. It’s easy to imagine him spending the lockout launching 3-pointer after 3-pointer in a Seattle gym. Whether that happened, I don’t know. But I’m more less likely to consider his 3-point shooting a fluke than had he dropped these numbers in the middle of the season.

I’m encouraged by Stuckey’s production from beyond the arc so far, but until he shoots like this long enough to post the best 3-point-shooting stretch of his career, I’m not ready to declare definitively that he’s turned the corner.

10 Comments

  • Jan 27, 201212:26 pm
    by Keith P.

    Reply

    I can’t say for sure if it’s for real or not. But either way, I wouldn’t be surprised if his percentage sees an uptick whether he’s actually improved his shot or not. As primary ball-handler in the past, many of the Pistons end-of-quarter plays resulted in Stuckey throwing half-court heaves. Now that his ball-handling is being limited by Brandon Knight’s bringing it up the floor, we should see less attempted buzzer-beaters from Stuckey.

  • Jan 27, 201212:53 pm
    by sebastian

    Reply

    Stuckey’s “32 in 14 games so far this season” may also be evidence that he is not yet in shape, as he may be choosing to shoot more “3′s,” because his current conditioning will not allow him to drive to the hoop as he normally does.
    Note: This is an observation by a Stuckey fan.

    • Jan 27, 20121:05 pm
      by Dan Feldman

      Reply

      If that’s the case, I hope he re-evaluates his game once he gets into shape. His effective field-goal percentage on 3-pointers this season (56.3) tops his career-high effective field-goal percentage at the rim (56.1 last season).

      • Jan 27, 20121:21 pm
        by sebastian

        Reply

        Agreed, Feldman. Furthermore, if Stuckey is looking towards another nice payday when his current contract expires, he better have developed a more reliable 3-point shot.

  • Jan 27, 20123:41 pm
    by jake

    Reply

    i honestly think it’s a result of increased skill. not only is he taking more 3′s, but he’s taking more jumpers all together. he’s picking his spots exponentially better than he has before, and he’s not recklessly driving to the rim every chance he gets. that’s very encouraging imo.

    • Jan 27, 20127:06 pm
      by Dan Feldman

      Reply

      That’s not really the case, according to HoopData. Stuckey is shooting a career-worst 28 percent on 2-point jumpers between 10 and 23 feet. He’s also attempting 46 percent of his shots from that distance, below his career average of 49 percent.

  • Jan 27, 20124:51 pm
    by Max

    Reply

    I’d have to think it is the result of practice and Stuckey wanting to be a better 3 point shooter since he must have realized when the Pistons drafted Knight that he would probably lose his job at point guard and needed to focus more on the skills he would need as a 2.
    I guess he has had stretches as good before as has been outlined but I honestly don’t remember him looking for the 3 point shot nearly as often and don’t ever remember him confidently hoisting them early in the shot clock before.
    It may also be that Frank is encouraging him to shoot them.

  • Jan 27, 20124:53 pm
    by Max

    Reply

    Stuck’s pct at the rim has to be looked at the context of the frequency that he gets to the line where he shoots a great pct.

  • Jan 27, 201210:23 pm
    by damian

    Reply

    he learned threes because he got tired of reading about people bitching about him jumping in the air in the paint whilst in the double-team, resulting in a pass to our sixth player on the court. he isn’t tired of missing layups though.

  • [...] Rodney Stuckey’s 3-point shooting: aberration or breakthrough? By Dan Feldman • 11:44 am • January 27, 2012 Rodney Stuckey is shooting 37.5 percent on 2.9 3-point attempts per 36 minutes. If those numbers hold, they’d both be career highs and, for the first time, Stuckey’s 3-point percentage will best the NBA average. Has the fourth-year guard finally solidified his outside shot? Maybe. It’s encouraging that Stuckey is attempting so many 3-pointers – 32 in 14 games so far this season – because that indicates his high percentage is a result of increased skill, not becoming more choosy in his shot selection. Before this year, he had never attempted more than 28 3-pointers in a 14-game stretch. But Stuckey’s 12 makes in 32 attempts don’t break new ground. He’s achieved that 17 others times during his career, though they came as part of just two independent stretches, one that mostly occurred during the middle of the 2008-09 season and one that mostly occurred late last season. In fact, he made 13-of-32 3-pointers four times during his 2008-09 hot streak. Stuckey producing like this at the beginning of a season certainly gives more reason for optimism. It’s easy to imagine him spending the lockout launching 3-pointer after 3-pointer in a Seattle gym. Whether that happened, I don’t know. But I’m more less likely to consider his 3-point shooting a fluke than had he dropped these numbers in the middle of the season. I’m encouraged by Stuckey’s production from beyond the arc so far, but until he shoots like this long enough to post the best 3-point-shooting stretch of his career, I’m not ready to declare definitively that he’s turned the corner. Rodney Stuckey’s 3-point shooting: aberration or breakthrough? PistonPowered [...]

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