Comments on: Kevin Pelton’s statistical projection has Greg Monroe’s rebounding slipping

By: Rodman4Life

Rodman4Life — Fri, 08 Jul 2011 20:11:35 +0000

I agree Greg has an old-man’s game, but I also think he is pretty bright. Those projections properly assess his athletecism but under-value his ability to use (and improve) his basketball acumen. His offensive rebounds will probably go down because, as the Pistons begin to utilize his passing, he will be pulled farther from the rim.

By: RandomGuy313

RandomGuy313 — Thu, 07 Jul 2011 14:44:30 +0000

You’re right DF, I was incorrect on the implementation of the metric, allow me to rephrase.

I still believe that his positioning, with a year under his belt will allow him to maintain those rates and I believe his offensive rebounds per game will increase due to the inefficiencies of the guards finishing at the rim and the loss of TP, and potentially Chris Wilcox, who was one of the better finishers on the Pistons.

By: jprime18

jprime18 — Wed, 06 Jul 2011 23:07:47 +0000

If there is a full season and Greg stays healthy, I think he can average 15, 10, and 2 assists. I’m assuming he’ll have the ball in his hands a lot more, as opposed being almost limited to garbage points.

By: David

David — Wed, 06 Jul 2011 22:18:05 +0000

I’m completely comfortable with Greg taking a few years to put everything together. As long as he keeps playing efficient minutes, i don’t think there’s much to complain about.

By: Dan Feldman

Dan Feldman — Wed, 06 Jul 2011 22:16:21 +0000

Hopefully, the Pistons’ guards shoot a bit better at the rim, but that shouldn’t affect Monroe’s offensive rebounding rate. It’s rebounds grabbed per rebounds available. Detroit’s guards making more shots would lower the denominator in addition to the numerator.

We’ll see about the jumper, but Monroe’s free-throw percentage improved during the season. Hopefully, that trend continues.

By: oats

oats — Wed, 06 Jul 2011 18:27:24 +0000

I think he’ll do better than this projection, but not really a lot better. Maybe 13 points and 3 assists. This year is more about reintroducing parts of his game than putting up numbers. If he succeeds, the real jump should come in year 3 or 4. That is right around when players really start to have the league figured out and really start putting things together.

By: RandomGuy313

RandomGuy313 — Wed, 06 Jul 2011 18:25:34 +0000

If our guards maintain below average numbers percentage wise at the rim; it is certain to expect that Monroe can maintain his offensive rebound rate that was top 5 in the league. Although his defensive rebound rate was not elite he was still in the top 20 of forwards. (http://www.hoopdata.com/defrebstats.aspx?team=%25&type=pg&posi=F&yr=2011&gp=40&mins=25)

I am of similar mind with you, DF, in regard to his usage going into next year. His assist numbers were otherworldly for a big man in college and that vision should be implemented more next season; which should bring up his pts and assists up a bit.

Monroe will still struggle to push past the 13 ppg mark until he can develop a consistent 15 footer and improve his FT%.

By: Quick Darshan

Quick Darshan — Wed, 06 Jul 2011 18:03:31 +0000

I don’t see Monroe improving that much either. He’ll continue to become more comfortable (especially as a playmaker) but I don’t see a huge leap from where he was as a rookie.

That being said, I do think he’s a “championship” player. I don’t mean he’s Dirk Nowitski, but he’s the kind of player that will make winning plays on a winning team. Kind of like a better Udonis Haslem.

Both he and Jerebko are the only current Pistons I feel that way about. Probably Bynum too (off the bench).