Archive → March, 2011
Detroit Pistons Draft Dreams: Marcus Morris
The more advanced of the Morris twins, Marcus Morris has shown steady improvement in three years at Kansas and could be a lottery pick.
Info
Measurables: 6-foot-9, 235 pounds, junior F from Kansas
Key stats: 17.3 points, 7.4 rebounds per game while shooting 58 percent from the field
Projected: Top 20
How would he help the Pistons?
As a freshman at Kansas, Morris certainly played the game physically and looked like he’d be a solid role player for the Jayhawks. His game, however, has evolved and expanded each season. His overall rebounding average doesn’t stand out this season, but keep in mind he’s only playing about 28 minutes per game. He grabs just over 19 percent of available defensive rebounds when he’s on the floor, a very solid number. He’s a fundamentally sound big man who can hit a 15-footer, he shoots a high percentage and he rarely takes a bad shot.
How wouldn’t he help the Pistons?
Every available big in the draft, I try to imagine next to Greg Monroe. Most, and Morris is included, would be upgrades over any incumbent on the Pistons roster, but ideally, I’d like to see a shot blocking presence next to him because Monroe isn’t going to develop into a major force in that department. Morris isn’t a shot blocker either and, like Monroe, he will give up some heft against bigger frontcourt players and will be overmatched against the really athletic bigs in the league.
What are others saying?
Showing off a truly unique blend of versatility, strength, skill, and touch for a power forward at the college level, Morris has seamlessly assumed a leadership role and become the star first option Bill Self’s team needed. Making the most of the touches Collins and Aldrich left behind, Morris ranks 12th amongst NCAA prospects in points per-40 minutes and seventh in effective FG%.
Scouts are worried that Marcus may be a tweener in the NBA. His natural position in college has been at the 4, but teams feel he may need to switch to the 3 in the pros. Is he quick enough?
Can put the ball on the deck and excels at isolating against other bigmen and using his one on one skills and speed to create jumpshots or get to the basket.
Hickory High’s Similarity Scores
Previously
Win two tickets to tonight’s Detroit Pistons-Miami Heat game from StubHub
StubHub really came through with two great-sounding* seats for tonight’s Heat-Pistons game. They’re in VIP Courtside, Row D.
*Disclaimer: I actually have no idea where the seats are. Sometimes, the section and row of good seats can sound like the section and row of bad seats, and vice versa. But these sure sound good.
Want to win them?
Simply like PistonPowered on Facebook and e-mail your name (so I can verify) to PistonPoweredcontests@gmail.com. I’ll randomly pick a winner from the respondents later in the day.
Greg Monroe could learn from Joakim Noah’s overt tenacity
In one of my favorite features, ESPN’s David Thorpe picks which veterans key rookies should study. For Greg Monroe, he chose Joakim Noah:
There’s no question Monroe has found a better gear to play in during the past two months. But there are more gears to unlock, and no one at any position plays at full tilt as much as Noah does.
Noah is energy personified — he adds to the game even when he’s not producing because of how he impacts his teammates. Monroe, should he learn to play at that level, would be capable of similar things. Even if he just upgrades his energy 10-20 percent, it would make a big impact for someone who already looks like a starter in the NBA.
Step one can be studying how rarely Noah sits quietly on the bench while watching his teammates play, then seeing how he can lift his Pistons teammates up in a similar manner.
I completely agree. Monroe has said he plays hard even though he doesn’t wear his emotions on his sleeve, and that’s totally true. But as we enter an era where Monroe becoming a leader would boost the Pistons, he could better serve the team if he looked like he was playing as hard as he actually is. His teammates need to see that example, because if they emulate the desire it appears Monroe is showing, they’re going to struggle.
Thorpe also suggests Utah Jazz forward Gordon Hayward should model parts of his game after former-Piston Arron Afflalo.
Chris Wilcox is playing well, should the Pistons attempt to re-sign him?
For most of the season, it has been a foregone conclusion that pending free agents Tayshaun Prince, Tracy McGrady and Chris Wilcox will most likely be playing elsewhere next season. McGrady and Prince mostly because both should be in demand among contending teams and Wilcox because he never really seemed to find a niche with the Pistons.
But here’s the thing: Wilcox is playing kinda good right now. Unlike McGrady and Prince, who play positions where the Pistons have an abundance of guys in need of minutes, Wilcox plays a position where the Pistons need help. And since the team has little money to spend, signing an impact free agent big would be impossible, unless the Pistons miraculously shed a few contracts right after the season ends. Wilcox, because he’s been injured and inconsistent the last two years, isn’t likely to be a prime target of many teams in free agency, but he’s still an active big whose best skills — athleticism, running the floor, cutting in the pick and roll and finishing — mix well with up-tempo guards like Rodney Stuckey and Will Bynum. And at just 28-years-old, bringing Wilcox back on a deal similar to the two year/$6 million contract he’s played on the last two seasons isn’t a gamble.
Dan Feldman loves to point out that Wilcox has had a pattern of tantalizing his teams with his potential only to disappear for long stretches during his career. I don’t think he’s done enough over the second half of this season to disprove that evidence. But he has improved drastically in a couple of key areas.
Last season, Wilcox turned it over on a ridiculous 21 percent of possessions he touched the ball. This year, he’s posting a career-low 10 percent turnover percentage. He’s only finished below 12 percent once in his eight previous seasons in the league, so that’s a major turnaround and the biggest reason he can be trusted with more minutes this season.
The other statistical area where he’s made a major jump is in offensive rating (points scored per 100 possessions). Last season, he finished with a 96 o-rating, not good for a guy who is considered primarily an offensive player. This season, he’s all the way up to a 114. The jump can be attributed to the fact that he’s always shot a high percentage (this season is no different, he’s at 55 percent) and now that he’s cut his turnovers way down, he’s able to score more efficiently on a points-per-possession basis.
Because Wilcox was out of the rotation much of the early season as he recovered from injuries, this season is a relatively small sample size to say that he’s finally figured some things out. But it’s hard not to think it represents some progress. When you combine his improved ability to hold onto the ball with the immense physical tools that he’s always had and the fact that he’s still relatively young and never played huge minutes in his career for any team, Wilcox could be a bargain next season. If he’s not re-signed, the alternatives likely include finding another veteran’s minimum-level big man to replace him. If that’s the case, why not just try and keep a guy who has already developed some chemistry with the young lineup identified as building blocks?
Re-signing Wilcox certainly won’t propel the Pistons into contention, but of their pending unrestricted free agents, bringing him back makes much more sense than bringing back Prince or McGrady.
Pistons nickname John Kuester “Sean Penn” – as in “Dead Man Walking”
Despite the justified heat Detroit’s vets got for their unpardonable mutiny, that apparently hasn’t stopped some of them from privately referring to their coach as Sean Penn … as in "Dead Man Walking."
After the Philly boycott, I think a perception began to spread that the Pistons’ veterans are jerks. Making fun of someone who, after years of working his way up the ladder, finally got a chance to prove he could handle the peak of his profession does nothing to erase that perception.
Hypothetical: Which Pistons contract would be most advantageous to shed?
We concluded the round table discussions last week, but commenter Stephen posed a thought-provoking hypothetical question on the last post:
If the new CBA has a vastly more restrictive Cap (either hard one,or incredibly heavy Luxury Tax penalties, whatever), there would almost have to be a provision for teams to get out of one contract-aka the Allan Houston Provision Take 2. For arguments sake, let’s say the NBA agrees to buy off 1 Player’s contract on each team-pay his contract fully and his salary doesn’t count towards Cap at all. (League pays for buy-outs perhaps w/a short term tax on Local media deals.) In such a scenario,who would the Pistons nominate for a buy-out? Hamilton, Gordon, Villanueva?
Unrealistic situation? Sure. But it’s interesting discussion fodder nonetheless. I’ve always felt Hamilton would be the no-brainer to get out of, but arguments could be made that Gordon’s or Villanueva’s are worse because they are both a year longer with player options that most assuredly will be picked up. Thoughts?
Detroit Pistons Draft Dreams: Isaiah Thomas
It just makes sense, doesn’t it?
Info
Measurables: 5-foot-9, 185 pounds, junior G from Washington
Key stats: 16.9 points, 6.0 assists, 1.3 steals per game while shooting 45 percent from the field and 35 percent from three
Projected: Second round
How would he help the Pistons?
Last week, I profiled Kenneth Faried mostly because he’s often compared to Dennis Rodman. This week, why not go with the guy who shares a name (spelled slightly differently) of arguably the greatest Piston of all-time? Pistons fans will certainly appreciate how he came to have the name in the first place, according to his bio:
Named after the former Indiana and NBA all-star guard Isiah Thomas when his father, James, lost a friendly wager on a Lakers vs. Pistons playoff game in 1989 … the name was approved by his mother since she desired a biblical name.
As for on the court, Thomas has been compared to former UW guard Nate Robinson because both are diminutive but haven’t let their size prevent them from being explosive scorers. Thomas has been used off the ball at Washington for the most part, but has played a lot more point guard this season. He’ll never be confused with a pass-first or “true” PG, but if he has anywhere near the scoring ability Robinson has in the NBA, he’ll be worth a second round pick should he leave school early.
How wouldn’t he help the Pistons?
The last thing the Pistons need is another shoot-first guard who may not be able to defend his position. But I’ve always been an advocate of taking the best available talent, particularly in the second round, regardless of positional needs. If you don’t abide by that philosophy, you end up reaching for the equivalent of Rafael Araujo or Todd Fuller in the top 15. Still though, with all of the incumbent backcourt players likely back and a hopefully healthy season from Terrico White, any guard who came in via a second round pick would be a longshot to make the roster, let alone push for minutes.
What are others saying?
Looking at his point guard abilities, Thomas has matured substantially since we last profiled him, showing much better instincts and outstanding court vision. This 180 degree change in production and mentality as a playmaker makes all the difference in evaluating his draft stock, as it was nearly impossible to envision him making it in the NBA as a 5-9 shoot-first combo guard.
Thomas’ ability to play the point helps his draft stock tremendously. At his size, it’s hard enough to project him, but if he can play the point, he stands a better chance of succeeding than he does at the 2. There aren’t many players Thomas’ size in the NBA, but I am hearing a number of scouts starting to refer to him as a legit draft prospect. That’s quite an impressive upward trend from where he was two months ago.
Hickory High’s Similarity Scores
Previously
Is Rodney Stuckey turning the corner?
A two-game win streak, the Pistons’ best in more than six weeks? Snapped.
Rodney Stuckey’s infuriating ability to always show enough potential to inspire some confidence but never anything more? In tact.
Stuckey had 22 points and eight rebounds in a 104-96 loss to the Hawks yesterday, another quality game in what has seemed like a run of them from him lately. In his last 13 games, he’s averaging 15.2 points and 5.9 assists, and based on my perception before checking the numbers, I’m a little surprised those figures weren’t higher. I guess that speaks to his tendency to find the middle ground between potential and peaked.
I think 13 games is a fairly sizable sample and can actually tell us something about Stuckey’s progress. But he’s had 14 other 13-game stretches when he at least matched both totals.
Games where he passes too much – like Wednesday’s 14-assist, one-shot performance – or games where he shoots too much – a combined 40 points and four assists in a two-game stretch in late February – don’t really prove he’s on track.
Games like yesterday’s certainly encourage, but 22 and 8 isn’t out of the ordinary from Stuckey.
As usual, I’m left scratching my head with him.
Greg Monroe doesn’t stop
There’s a skill in sometimes playing great games, and there’s a skill in always playing good games. I think we can safely say Greg Monroe has proven himself as a player who does the latter.
Monroe had 17 points and 10 rebounds, his ninth double-double in his last 13 games (69 percent). For perspective, Pau Gasol has gotten a double in only 54 percent of his games this season.
Chris Wilcox will stop
Chris Wilcox scored 18 points on 9-of-10 shooting a game after posting 13 points and 12 rebounds against the Knicks. Obligatory reminder of what Royce Young of Daily Thunder said when the Pistons signed Wilcox:
If there is one word to describe Chris Wilcox, it’s inconsistent. He can actually drive you nuts with it.
He’ll go through a lull of four games doing nothing – 18 minutes, four points, two rebounds two turnovers, or something like that.
But then on the fifth night, he’ll blow up for 16 points, 11 boards and a crucial block or two. He’ll energize the arena with a soaring dunk. And you’ll think, "Okay, here we go! Let the Chris Wilcox era begin!"
Sadly though, the next game it’s back to another lackluster performance. I don’t know if he’s unfocused or uninspired, but it really drives you batty. To have that much skill and ability and not work to harness it.
Pistons to interrupt Michigan-Duke
Essentials
Teams: Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks
Date: March 20, 2011
Time: 2 p.m.
Television: Fox Sports Detroit
Records
Pistons: 24-44
Hawks: 39-30
Probable starters
Pistons:
Hawks:
- Kirk Hinrich
- Joe Johnson
- Marvin Williams
- Josh Smith
- Al Horford
Las Vegas projection
Spread: Pistons +7.5
Over/under: 189.5
Score: Hawks win, 98.5-91
In-game watching
How many of you will actually pay more attention to this game than Michigan-Duke (or another NCAA Tournament game)?
A Problem Shared is a Problem Halved
Jakob Eich of Bynumite Blog takes a closer look at Rodney Stuckey’s best passing night of his career.
Okay, I went a little proverbial on the headline, but I thought it fit Rodney Stuckey’s performance Wednesday. After weeks, months and even years of being told that he was too selfish to be the starting point guard on the team and that he is not a good enough passer to be an elite NBA point guard Stuckey went out and got 14 assists with only one field goal attempt, four free throws and only two turnovers.
Patrick had a post earlier where he mentioned his belief that Stuckey gave up some good shots that ultimately led to worse shots for his teammates. Stuckey was probably fed up with all the jibber-jabber and went Kobe Bryant on his coach. I decided to take a closer look at what he did in that game (stayed up watching the game live and then re-watching it, it ended at 3 a.m. for me). I don’t want to prove Patrick wrong and I only looked at the assists which led to baskets. But of the 14 he had, only one should have been an easy lay-up for himself. On another he could have gone both ways but decided to drop it off to CV and a third one on a Hamilton basket shouldn’t have been an assist in my opinion. Rip caught the ball standing still, pump-faked, took two dribbles and laid it up. But still, good for Rodney!
Assisting Monroe
Of the 14 assists, he passed the ball to Monroe four times. Five times (or four-and-a-half) Hamilton was on the receiving end of the dishes. I realize that the Toronto Raptors are not exactly a good defensive team, yet I still liked the plays. In a lot of plays Stuckey played similar to Chauncey Billups’ style back when CB was still with the team. Hamilton curled around screens and used them.
Stuckey showed great understanding of how the Raptors wanted to contain him. They sagged off in order to force him to beat the Raps with his jumpshot. Stuckey’s jumper, as we all know, can be shaky. His unwillingness to pass the ball makes this a rather effective strategy for a defensively challenged guard like Jose Calderon to make Stuckey become ineffective. Last night Stuckey decided to pass up a couple of good looks to hit the cutter or in the next case, the roller (‘Monroll’) in the pick and roll.
Stuckey is calmly dribbling the ball on top of the key. He will get a screen from Monroe. I always like how far Stuckey stays back in order to get as much speed as possible. Going full speed at his defender creates a real advantage for him. Usually his defenders are neither strong nor fast enough to keep him from getting to the rim. Kuester is marked in red, because this is how he always stands there, I think it’s funny. Hands at his hips, jacket casually thrown back and he always looks as if he’s marveling at what his players are doing.
Stuckey this time opts to go for the pull-up jumper. The defenders sagged off him and gave him the free jumper. This is how most defenses guard Stuckey. They gamble on him not making as many mid-range jumpers. If he had a solid mid-range game he would be one of the best scoring point guards in the league. He is not the elite passer or defender Rajon Rondo is for instance, but he could affect the game in other ways. He realizes the players are giving him the jumper, none of the defenders bother to switch to Monroe and Stuckey passes him the ball. Monroe gets a bucket and a foul.
Assisting Rip
Hamilton is the person who has suffered most from Billups’ departure. He not only lost the player he was most in sync with, he also lost his brother. I don’t he’s been the same since. Against the Raptors he had a vintage performance and Stuckey’s selfless play had a lot to do with it. Stuckey had his fingerprints all over the game, he was calm and let the plays develop. This is usually typical of Tracy McGrady, if Rodney could learn how to do that it would add another dimension to his game.
This is just a short play I picked and I won’t go into much detail, we have all seen this plenty times when Billups was around. Stuckey holds onto the ball and waits until Rip curls around a screen and is ready to receive the pass. He can now either shoot it or drive it to the hole, he opts for the latter and finishes it strong at the rim. This is why I (and many others) expected Rip to be effective deep into his thirties. His game was never defined by his athleticism but by his deceptiveness. He has a lot more in the tank than what we have seen the past two years. He will be better again and might even gain some trade value. With a good point guard and a good coach he might have a couple of more productive seasons left.
Probably the Reason Joe D Fell In Love With Stuckey
This play perfectly illustrates why Dumars put so much trust in Stuckey. At his best, he is so fast, so explosive and basically unguardable. Unfortunately, he almost never is at his best. He shows flashes and gets oohs and aahs from the crowd and it is easy to imagine him as an elite point guard in this league. He often starts settling for jumpers, and as already mentioned his jumper is not very consistent.
I wanted to get Monroe into this so we’ll start out with the Raptors on offense. Bargnani is in an iso post-up against Monroe. Smartly the Pistons let Monroe handle this one-on-one as Bargnani only has one real go-to move in the low-post, the turnaround fadeaway. Not surprisingly Bargnani shoots a turnaround fade-away. Look at how well Monroe defends this play. He has his long arms straight up and he is so close to Bargnani that he can’t make the shot. This is great defense and incredibly smart and fundamental. I’d bet anything that Ben Wallace’s mentoring has a lot to do with this development in Monroe’s skill set. This is Tim Duncanesque defense. Not athletic, not spectacular, but effective.
Monroe gets the rebound and passes the outlet to Stuckey. Rodney takes the ball and goes full speed. His defenders can’t keep up with him and he passes the ball to Rip in the open court who knocks down the easy midrange jumper. I believe this is what Patrick talked about when he said Stuckey gave up good looks for worse looks for his teammates. In this case, Stuckey seems to have a rather clear path to the basket, still I like him giving up the ball since Rip is a very good midrange shooter and as a PG it is more important to keep your teammates happy than keeping yourself happy.
Summing this up, I would love for Stuckey to pass the ball more and score less. There’s nothing wrong with him averaging 10 PPG and 10 APG. I know it is highly unlikely to happen, but I think he could become this type of player. Jason Kidd never was a huge scorer, he was effective in other ways. Stuckey needs to find his niche within his skill set. He needs to realize when he can score and when he should pass, even if it means more games with just one field goal attempt, it worked. The Raptors gave him so much space, he could create for his teammates instead of taking many ill-advised jumpers. His primary skill might be scoring, but isn’t scoring T-Mac’s primary skill as well? Stuckey shows great potential in seeing passing angles, I think he would really profit from a mentor for his position. Since Billups left, he hasn’t had one. Heck, he hasn’t even had a good coach since then!
Here’s a compilation of all of Stuckey’s assists:
