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Detroit Pistons lottery rundown: April 15, 2010

Here’s what we know: the Pistons will get a top-10 pick, and it won’t be the fourth or the fifth pick. Here are a few other numbers:

  • Odds of getting the No. 1 pick: 5.3 percent
  • A top-three pick: 18.3 percent
  • The sixth, seventh or eighth pick: 80.8 percent
  • The ninth or 10th pick: 1.0 percent

As always, if anyone has any questions about the lottery, post them in the comments, and I’ll answer. If you’re unsure about something, I’m sure someone else is, too.

Yesterday’s key games

  • Detroit Pistons 103, Minnesota Timberwolves 98
  • Orlando Magic 125, Philadelphia 76ers 111

(teams in lottery race with Pistons are bolded)

Standings

  • No. 6/7 seed: Detroit Pistons (27-55)
  • No. 6/7 seed: Philadelphia 76ers (27-55)

Odds

image

  • No. 1 pick: 5.3 percent
  • No. 2 pick: 6.0 percent
  • No. 3 pick: 7.0 percent
  • No. 4 pick: 0.0 percent
  • No. 5 pick: 0.0 percent
  • No. 6 pick: 22.0 percent
  • No. 7 pick: 45.2 percent
  • No. 8 pick: 13.6 percent
  • No. 9 pick: 0.1 percent
  • No. 10 pick: 0.0 percent (Landing this pick is possible, but the odds round to zero.)

7 Comments

  • Apr 15, 20108:26 am
    by Cam

    Reply

    Ive been reading this thread the past couple weeks or so…
    why is it again, that they cannot receive a 4th or 5th pick?

    • Apr 15, 201012:14 pm
      by Dan Feldman

      Reply

      Cam, the lottery is only for the top three picks. So, every team has a chance at the first, second and third pick.

      After that, teams are slotted in order of their records. So, because the Pistons had the sixth/seventh-worst record, they will get the sixth or seventh pick if three teams worse than them get the top three picks.

      If a team better than them moves up to one of the top three spots, Detroit is bumped down a pick. If two move up, Detroit is bumped two picks. Etc.

      Hope that explains it.

  • Apr 15, 20102:10 pm
    by JVSTribe

    Reply

    I can’t believe they didn’t just drop one game in order to move up 2-3 spots.  this could have huge ramifications a few years from now when cousins and favors are killing it, and we draft a project from Wake

  • Apr 15, 20106:15 pm
    by Bryan

    Reply

    One game? Just 3 more losses gives us the 3rd “seed,” guarantees us a top-6 player, and means the Pistons don’t draft Aldrich.  Does anyone else here have the sinking feeling that instead of starting Wall, Turner, Cousins or Favors for the next 10 years, we’ll have 10 years of crappy 10th best player gamble “high ceiling” big men?

  • Apr 16, 201012:55 pm
    by Mercury

    Reply

    Two part:
    1) Do you know what time today the tiebreaker for Philly/Detroit will be?
    2) What are the actual odds of 6th or 7th pick?

    • Apr 16, 20103:09 pm
      by Dan Feldman

      Reply

      1. It just happened, but results aren’t available yet.

      2. Right now: 6th- 22.0, 7th- 45.2. That will change after the coin flip is announced. I’ll have a new post then to update.

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