Archive → January, 2010
Game Preview: Detroit Pistons at Dallas Mavericks
Essentials
Date: Jan. 5, 2010
Time: 8:30 p.m.
Television: Fox Sports Detroit
Records
Detroit: 11-21
Dallas: 23-11
Probable starters
Detroit:
Dallas:
Las Vegas projection
Spread: Detroit +8.5
Over/under: 187
Score: Dallas wins, 98-89
Statistical projection
Detroit offensive rating: 103.5 (24th)
Detroit defensive rating: 108.4 (21st)
Detroit pace: 88.1 (29th)
Dallas offensive rating: 107.3 (13th)
Dallas defensive rating: 103.7 (7th)
Dallas pace: 92.5 (17th)
Score: Dallas wins, 97-94
Outlook
Everyone is assuming the Pistons will lose their next two games (tonight and at San Antonio tomorrow), myself included. Playing a pair of excellent teams on the road, there’s little reason for hope.
But Detroit didn’t win when there seemed to be a chance. So maybe, and I know this a reach, the complete lack of pressure will cause the Pistons to play better.
A more realistic scenario: the Mavericks will use tonight’s game to get back on track after losing by 35 to the Lakers on Sunday.
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Will Bynum will miss tonight’s and tomorrow’s games, according to Chris Iott of MLive.
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I’m not sure yet if I’ll be around, but stop by Daily Dime Live to chat during the game.
Tuesday Trivia: NBA Sixth Man of the Years
This week’s quiz is about Sixth Man of the Year winners.
My Score: 18/27
Warning: Spoilers in the comments.
“Down:” The Jonas Jerebko version
Actually, before you laugh, I think this is pretty well done. (Hat tip: Detroit Bad Boys)
The only thing missing was her “I love Jonas” shirt.
Richard Hamilton’s struggles and how newspapers cover them
Since Richard Hamilton returned from injury three games ago, he’s been terrible – and that might be putting it lightly.
In the Pistons’ last three games – all losses – Hamilton’s plus-minus rating is a combined minus-50. Here’s a game breakdown of how the Pistons have played with Hamilton on the court, and how they’ve played without him:
- Raptors: minus-8 with Hamilton, plus-1 without
- Knicks: minus-20 with Hamilton, plus-3 without
- Bulls: minus-22 with Hamilton, plus-11 without
- Total: minus-50 with Hamilton, plus-15 without
I know he’s coming back from injury and shooting poorly (13-of-54 in those three games). But I didn’t think he could be playing that badly. So, I searched the box scores looking for for an excuse for such a poor plus-mus.
But I found the opposite. There are signs his play is as bad as, and maybe even worse than, those numbers show.
For one, his plus-minus has been the worst on the Pistons or within one point of the worst in each of the three games. And when he was the worst, it wasn’t close.
Against the Knicks, his plus-minus was seven points worse than the second-worst Piston. (Rodney Stuckey was minus-13.)
Against the Bulls, his plus-minus was 11 points points worse than the second-worst Pistons. (Ben Wallace, Charlie Villanueva and Chris Wilcox were minus-11.)
Next, I looked at end-of-game runs. I figured at least one of these games was decided before the closing minutes and the Pistons made a meaningless late run while Hamilton sat on the bench. Didn’t happen.
So, I looked to see how Hamilton played at the beginning of each half.
For a player of Hamilton’s stature, that should be a fair measurement. He’s playing with Detroit’s starters and against other starters (at least mostly). These teams are all near the Pistons in the standings, so these stats should provide a solid hint.
Here’s how the Pistons performed from the beginning of each half until Hamilton first left the game (first- and second-half totals are combined).
- Raptors: plus-6
- Knicks: minus-14
- Bulls: minus-12
- Total: minus-32
That means Hamilton was minus-18 otherwise. So, he’s really just playing poorly at all times.
Why are the numbers so bad?
Well, Hamilton just returned from injury, and he’s not really in shape. From Ted Kulfan of the Detroit News:
"They’ve been hard for me," said Hamilton of the last two days of practices. "I’ve been huffing and puffing, feeling like training camp. I haven’t done this much running in a long time.”
That’s probably why he’s made just 13-of-54 shots (.241) since returning. But that doesn’t completely explain such a low plus-minus. From Chris Iott of MLive:
Kuester was asked whether "heavy legs" should be having an effect on Hamilton defensively.
"It should not," Kuester said. "We weren’t good defensively overall.
I’m not sure what Kuester means by this, but I see two possibilities.
1. A defense-first guy like Kuester doesn’t want to make any excuses for his team’s defense. Even if he’ll concede Hamilton’s “heavy legs” have led to poor shooting, he won’t give his shooting guard an out for poor defense.
If this is the case, the only thing to do is wait for Hamilton to work his way back into shape.
2. Hamilton’s current physical weaknesses may affect his offense, but they don’t hinder him on defense. Offense and defense mostly require similar physical skills, but this is an example of only offensive skills being hindered.
If this is the case, there could be a bigger problem. Maybe Hamilton is an awful defender at this stage of his career.
I doubt this is happening. He’s been pretty solid throughout his career, so I have another guess.
Hamilton’s missed shots make it easier for the opponent to run and get easy buckets. Even if he should be defending as well as usual, his missed shots are putting the Pistons at too big of a disadvantage defensively.
My guess is a combinations of No. 1 and No. 2 are happening. Either way, Hamilton getting back into shape should go a long way.
Newspaper coverage of Richard Hamilton’s play
Whew. That was a pretty exhaustive look at Hamilton’s plus-minus, an advanced stat itself.
It’s something you’d never see in a newspaper, understandably so. There isn’t enough space. And unlike a Pistons blog, non-hardcore Pistons fans are much more likely to see a story in a newspaper. So, articles aren’t usually as technical.
But there were a couple surprising references to advance stats in recent articles about Hamilton.
Here’s how four newspapers have covered his first three games back. The first three articles on the subject were published late yesterday or early today.
Detroit News: Ted Kulfan wrote just about Hamilton’s shooting woes. He makes no mention of Detroit’s poor play with Hamilton on the court.
MLive: Chris Iott explains the Pistons have been outscored with Hamilton on the court and outscored their opponents with him on the bench. But, probably in an effort to not confuse readers, doesn’t use the words “plus” or “minus” in his article. They are used in an accompanying chart, though.
The Oakland Press: Dave Pemberton made Hamilton’s poor plus-minus the central piece of his notebook. This is on his blog, and The Oakland Press doesn’t publish its print articles online. So, I’m curious if something different appeared in print.
Detroit Free Press: Vince Ellis wrote about Hamilton on Saturday. Ellis should get some credit for being ahead of the game, but he makes no reference to Hamilton’s plus-minus.
Since it’s rare for any newspaper to address advance stats at all, let alone two papers on one day, I’m guessing it came up at media availability Sunday. I have no idea if Kuester referenced the stat or if a reporter did.
If anyone knows, I’d love to hear.
Ten most influential Pistons of the decade (5-1)
This is my list of the 10 most influential Pistons of the last decade. The ranking is based on Time Magazine’s Person of the Year and will be ordered by which Piston – including any member of the organization – "for better or worse, has most influenced events” in the last decade.
Honorable mention (in alphabetical order): Michael Curry, Grant Hill, Allen Iverson, John Mason, Antonio McDyess, Flip Saunders, Jerry Stackhouse, Rodney Stuckey, Corliss Williamson, Tom Wilson
10. Tayshaun Prince
9. Rasheed Wallace
8. Darko Milicic
7. Rick Carlisle
6. Richard Hamilton
5. Bill Davidson
Bill Davidson (Bob Rosato/SI)
Davidson isn’t higher because many of his accomplishments and key decisions came before this decade. But he continued to lead the Pistons in the right direction in the 21st century.
He was a constant in his front-row seat on the baseline. At his age, he often showed up late and left early. And he owned a lot properties.
But there was no question the Pistons were his most treasured asset.
Davidson’s biggest move of the decade was hiring Joe Dumars to be the team’s general manager. He gave Dumars freedom to run the team, and that paid huge dividends. Davison encouraged Dumars to trust his plan, and that led to a title in 2004.
Two notable exceptions to Davison’s no-meddling policy: the firings of Rick Carlisle and Larry Brown. Davidson had issues with Carlisle’s treatment of Pistons employees and Brown’s flirtations with other teams. Davidson gave his people room to succeed or fail, but he demanded respect and loyalty.
The Pistons are an extremely well-run franchise, and that’s, in large part, because of Davidson influence.
Davison died March 13, capping one of the greatest ownership tenures in sports history.
4. Larry Brown

Larry Brown (Chris Birck/Getty Images)
Larry Brown coached six different teams for 21 seasons before coming to Detroit. He had made bad teams good and pretty good teams very good. But he had never made a very good team great — until he took over the Pistons.
The Pistons were a new challenge for Brown. Rick Carlisle had already instilled the defense-first attitude Brown cherishes. All the groundwork had been laid. Brown’s role was to make them a champion.
- He transformed Chauncey Billups from an undersized scoring guard to one of the league’s top point guards.
- He made Richard Hamilton develop an all-around game.
- He instilled a system that took advantage of Tayshaun Prince’s defensive talents.
- He involved Ben Wallace in the offense enough to make the sometimes-moody star happy.
- And, maybe his biggest accomplishment, he convinced Rasheed Wallace to play in the post and give a high level of effort.
When the Pistons won the 2004 title, I naively thought Brown had found his home. I didn’t know what he had been searching for when he moved from job to job, but I thought he had found it in Detroit. He had what always wanted: a team that played the right way.
But his ego and dalliances with Cleveland ultimately ended his tenure in Detroit.
I don’t know if Brown did a better coaching job anywhere else, but he was nothing short of amazing with the Pistons.
3. Chauncey Billups
Chauncey Billups (Allen Einstein/Getty Images)
Chauncey Billups wasn’t fully appreciated until he left Detroit. Besides being an excellent player, Billups was the glue that held the team together. Many of Detroit’s off-court problems last year were the result of Billups not being around to squelch them.
Stepping up in so many clutch situations, Billups earned the nickname, “Mr. Big Shot.” His pinnacle moment came in the 2004 Finals, when he was named Finals MVP.
Billups had more assists, steals, 3-pointers made and free throws made than any other Piston this decade. He’s also second in points scored.
Billups has been on seven teams in his career, including his hometown Nuggets twice. But there’s no question that Detroit is his NBA home.
2. Ben Wallace
Ben Wallace (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)
Ben Wallace was Detroit Basketball.
Hard work, defense, hustle. That was Wallace.
He was the game’s best defender. Sometimes, he seemed like he guarded all five opponents on a single possession.
He was also the fan-favorite of the decades. Not long after he arrived in Detroit, afro wigs and No. 3 jerseys began to fill the Palace stands.
How could you not love his story? Undrafted to the best player on a title team, Wallace built himself through hard work.
Wallace led the Pistons in rebounds, blocks, rebounds per game and blocks per game in the decade.
He nearly made No. 1 because he was a central figure in the Pistons’ biggest moment of the decade: the Palace brawl. His shove of Ron Artest prompted the whole incident, which shaped the public’s view of the NBA.
1. Joe Dumars
Joe Dumars (Allen Einstein/NBAE/Getty)
The 2000-2009 Pistons are Joe Dumars’ team.
He was hired six months into the decade, and ever since, he’s put his stamp on the Pistons. They won a title, and their window as a contender was open longer than most teams’.
He made so many moves to improve the team:
- Acquired Ben Wallace and Chucky Atkins in a sign-and-trade for Grant Hill
- Hired Rick Carlisle and Larry Brown
- Picked up savvy veterans like Cliff Robinson, Zeljko Rebraca, Jon Barry and Corliss Williamson for end-of-bench players and second rounders
- Drafted Tayshaun Prince, Mehmet Okur and Jonas Jerebko
- Signed Chauncey Billups
- Traded Jerry Stackhouse for Richard Hamilton
- Turned first-round busts Darko Milicic, Rodney White and Mateen Cleaves into new first-round picks
- Traded spare parts and draft picks for Rasheed Wallace
- Convinced Antonio McDyess to sign for less money than he could’ve received elsewhere
Dumars has made many questionable decisions lately (drafting Darko, trading Billups for Allen Iverson, signing Ben Gordon and Charlie Villanueva). But at 46, he shows no signs of slowing.
He’s the favorite to top this list for the next decade.














