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Who will the Pistons draft?: Availability (first round)

Previous:

A few players left on the board probably won’t be available when the Pistons draft at 15. Here’s a look at where the remaining first-round targets are expected to go:

Name .Net DX My YS SS FK Fox ML IS SN Avg. Avail.
James Johnson 14 22 16 21 19 16 14 23 22 18 18.5 80%
Sam Young 27 23 23 26 21 22 27   21 29 24.3 100%
DeJuan Blair 16 16 21 11 11 18 16 13 16 13 15.1 60%
Earl Clark 9 15 14 14 22 15 12 15 15 14 14.5 50%

Key:

With those projections in mind, here is my lottery prediction:

1. Clippers: Blake Griffin

2. Grizzlies: Hasheem Thabeet

3. Thunder: James Harden

4. Kings: Ricky Rubio

5. Timberwolves: Tyreke Evans

6. Timberwolves: Stephen Curry

7. Warriors: Jordan Hill

8. Knicks: Jrue Holiday

9. Raptors: Brandon Jennings

10. Bucks: Johnny Flynn

11. Nets: DeMar DeRozan

12. Bobcats: Terrence Williams

13. Pacers: Dejuan Blair

14. Suns: Earl Clark B.J. Mullens

My mock has Gerald Henderson falling out of the lottery, even though just one of the 10 mocks I sampled does. But since most have him going 12, I don’t think he’d be one of the elite guards Dumars said he would take if one fell to 15.

This projection cuts two players off the board: Dejuan Blair and Earl Clark. And I don’t think Sam Young is rated high enough to be considered at 15.

So, that leaves just one first-round player left.

Projected Pistons’ pick at 15: James Johnson, Wake Forest Earl Clark, Louisville

Update: With Phoenix’s trade of Shaq to Cleveland, I think the Suns will take B.J. Mullens. That leaves Earl Clark available, and he’s my guess as the pick.

Here’s more on Clark:

Draft Express profile

NBADraft.net profile

Johnson is one of the more NBA-ready prospects. He left Wake Forest as a sophomore, but he’s already 22.

He can score in a variety of ways, but sometimes he disappears. He has the tools to be a good defender, but he doesn’t always take advantage of them.

He’s an all-around player and improved across the board from his freshman season.

For more reading:

A quick note: I debated whether the Suns would take Henderson or Clark. If Clark falls to 15, I’d expect him to be the pick (at least over Johnson). So, although Johnson is my official prediction, that’s based on Clark not being available – which is far from a certainty.

Here’s the board. I’ll narrow down second-round picks later in the day.

Point guard

Name School Height Wingspan Projected
Jrue Holiday UCLA 6’ 3.25” 6’ 7” 13
Jeff Teague Wake Forest 6’ 0.25” 6’ 7.5” 20
Toney Douglass Florida State 6’ 1” 6’ 6” 36
Rodrigue Beaubois France 6’ 1.25” 6’ 9.75” 39
Greivis Vasquez Maryland 6’ 4.75” 6’ 7.25” 56

Shooting guard

Name School Height Wingspan Projected
Gerald Henderson Duke 6’ 4” 6’ 10.25” 12
Terrence Williams Louisville 6’ 5” 6’ 9” 16
Jermaine Taylor Central Florida 6’ 3.5” 6’ 8.75” 32
Jerel McNeal Marquette 6’ 1.5” 6’ 7.25” 46
Dionte Christmas Temple 6’ 4.25” 6’ 9” 59

Small forward

Name School Height Wingspan Projected
Austin Daye Gonzaga 6’ 9.75” 7’ 2.75” 15
James Johnson Wake Forest 6’ 7” 7’ 0.75” 18
Sam Young Pittsburgh 6’ 5.25” 6’ 10.75” 25
Danny Green North Carolina 6’ 5.25” 6’ 10” 35
Damion James Texas 6’ 6.25” 7’ 0.25” 42
Joe Ingles Australia 6’ 7.75” 6’ 10.25” 52
Tyler Smith Tennessee 6’ 5.25” 6’ 9.75” No

Power forward

Name School Height Wingspan Projected
Dejuan Blair Pittsburgh 6’ 5.25” 7’ 2” 11
Earl Clark Louisville 6’ 8.5” 7’ 2.5” 14
Gani Lawal Georgia Tech 6’ 7.75” 7’ 0” 23
DaJuan Summers Georgetown 6’ 7.25” 7’ 0.75” 31
Derrick Brown Xavier 6’ 7.5” 7’ 2.5” 41
Josh Heytvelt Gonzaga 6’ 10” 7’ 1.25” 50
Taj Gibson USC 6’ 8.5” 7’ 4” 53
Jeff Adrien Connecticut 6’ 5.25” 7’ 2” No

2 Comments

  • Jun 25, 20093:59 pm
    by Marcus

    Reply

    The Pistons should really look at Clif Brown he is an outstanding player overseas for the bg 74 Goettigen German league. He is a Detroiter and a hard worker!

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